Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233021           2          15          64          17           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824004           7          43          42           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   8.53802e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             7.00       44.50       40.25        7.75        0.50     B9.5
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5