Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222327           7          46          41           6           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000772834          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.19173e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            25.25       46.50       24.00        4.25        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1