Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215643          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000732041          26          45          23           6           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.80238e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            39.00       43.50       14.75        2.75        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1