Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218720          14          47          36           3           0        B6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000742637          21          43          29           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   5.75795e-08          29          62           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            20.50       52.75       23.50        3.25        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8