Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216463          30          51          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000732110          26          44          24           6           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   5.76651e-08          28          63           9           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.75       49.50       15.00        1.75        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2