Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213545          37          51          10           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715392          27          46          23           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   2.78468e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            43.75       43.50       11.00        1.75        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2