Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236656           2          13          57          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842745           5          54          34           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   9.90814e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.50       44.75       38.25        9.00        1.50     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3