Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237494           1           7          68          20           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000863061           6          44          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   6.82869e-08          13          68          18           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             9.25       45.50       36.00        8.25        1.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7