Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239461           1           5          71          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880710           1          36          51          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.76733e-08          14          68          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             8.50       43.25       38.75        8.25        1.25     B8.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4