Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231505           3          16          59          19           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000841359           3          51          38           8           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   4.72262e-08          52          43           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            20.00       42.00       29.75        7.50        0.75     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3