Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229392           1          22          61          15           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817756           8          45          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   8.30647e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            13.00       44.00       35.75        7.00        0.25     B7.3
 
realized                                                                                      B5.9