Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230472           2          20          57          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819471           7          46          39           8           0        B9.1
GOES Xray  =   9.04979e-08           5          64          27           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                             9.00       47.00       35.25        8.00        0.75     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8