Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216633          27          53          19           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000716500          27          46          23           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   4.94384e-08          44          49           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            27.50       50.00       20.25        2.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)