Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216027          33          48          17           2           0        B2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000710272          29          46          22           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.39502e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            21.25       53.50       22.75        2.50        0.00     B3.3
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3