Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215674          32          47          19           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000710463          29          45          22           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.08549e-08          55          42           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            33.25       49.25       15.00        2.50        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)