Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214065          33          50          14           3           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000698864          23          53          20           4           0        B3.4
GOES Xray  =   3.78462e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            33.00       51.00       13.25        2.75        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7