Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215921          36          46          16           2           0        B2.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000711932          29          46          21           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.32441e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       18.0000          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            34.25       48.25       15.00        2.50        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4