Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216679          26          54          19           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000719072          29          48          19           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.91735e-08          58          39           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            32.00       50.00       15.75        2.25        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5