Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216605          28          53          18           1           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000714034          27          48          21           4           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.37219e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       7.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            39.75       46.00       12.75        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7