Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211746          39          57           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000675719          29          55          13           3           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   2.66977e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            45.00       47.00        6.75        1.25        0.00     B1.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)