Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217552          25          57          17           1           0        B3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000700857          25          53          19           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   5.54566e-08          32          60           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.25       52.50       13.25        1.00        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)