Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217600          25          57          17           1           0        B3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715229          27          47          22           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.89966e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            40.50       45.50       12.50        1.50        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)