Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218857          14          48          35           3           0        B6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000729939          27          47          21           5           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.69643e-08          60          37           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       7.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.00       43.00       16.75        2.25        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)