Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217851          22          55          22           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000713008          28          46          21           5           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.43959e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            40.50       44.25       13.50        1.75        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1