Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218763          14          48          35           3           0        B5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000720867          29          49          19           3           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   4.13859e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       12.0000          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            30.00       49.00       18.75        2.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)