Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220678           7          42          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000741173          22          43          28           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   3.56334e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.25       40.25       20.00        4.50        0.00     B2.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)