Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219742          10          44          40           6           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000735707          24          43          26           7           0        B4.0
GOES Xray  =   4.09434e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.25       42.00       19.25        3.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)