Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219452          11          43          40           6           0        B7.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000732450          25          45          23           7           0        B3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.57657e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            36.75       41.25       18.50        3.50        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)