Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227008           2          32          52          14           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804036          12          45          38           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   4.93499e-08          46          47           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =       13.0000          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            20.00       46.50       28.25        5.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.8