Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00210927          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000662098          30          60           9           1           0        B1.7
GOES Xray  =   2.31924e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            45.50       48.25        5.50        0.75        0.00     B1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5