Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211684          39          57           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000660068          32          59           8           1           0        B1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.64297e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            36.50       54.25        8.00        1.25        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)