Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00208750          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000628453          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.81996e-08          50          45           4           1           0        B1.0
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            34.50       54.00       10.00        1.50        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)