Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00205502          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000595270          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   7.20921e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            24.50       59.00       14.75        1.75        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.1