Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215082          31          51          15           3           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000697317          25          52          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.66062e-08          30          63           7           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       10.0000          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            28.75       54.25       14.75        2.25        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5