Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00205845          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000607251          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.91883e-08          57          40           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       13.0000          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            38.00       54.00        7.00        1.00        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)