Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211268          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000675024          28          56          14           2           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   5.21904e-08          38          54           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            32.00       56.25       10.25        1.50        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1