Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00208886          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000659445          33          59           7           1           0        B1.6
GOES Xray  =   6.06768e-08          23          62          14           1           0        B2.1
est. ISN   =       10.0000          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            31.25       57.25       10.25        1.25        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6