Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213152          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000703882          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   4.68015e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            41.00       47.50       10.00        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)