Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212399          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000694637          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.27125e-08          36          56           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =       16.0000          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            28.00       57.75       12.00        2.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4