Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00208798          40          57           2           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000656161          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   4.27130e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            45.00       49.00        5.25        0.75        0.00     B1.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)