Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212360          35          58           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685543          24          53          19           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.65610e-08          17          66          16           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            31.50       54.50       12.50        1.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9