Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223845           6          49          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797141          15          47          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.39520e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            16.50       51.00       29.25        3.25        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.5