Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227465           3          31          54          12           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834229           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.63062e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       23.0000           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.75       47.25       38.00        8.00        0.00     B9.0
 
realized                                                                                      B9.8