Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225130           6          43          45           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831733           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.41289e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.50       51.25       37.50        4.75        0.00     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8