Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225817           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826398           5          44          42           9           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   1.54564e-07          10          62          24           4           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             7.00       49.75       36.50        6.75        0.00     B7.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.5