Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226372           4          34          48          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833844           4          45          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.47751e-07          12          60          26           2           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             8.25       49.00       36.00        6.75        0.00     B7.8
 
realized                                                                                      B9.0