Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225217           6          43          44           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825119           7          44          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.03601e-07           7          57          32           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       9.00000          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            14.25       47.50       33.00        5.25        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2