Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230702           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000893460           2          34          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.58991e-07          11          59          25           5           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       41.75       40.75       10.50        1.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4