Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226000           4          38          46          12           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850000           5          52          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.07000e-07           7          59          31           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       17.0000          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                             8.25       53.00       32.75        6.00        0.00     B7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5