Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00215344          32          50          16           2           0        B2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000725737          29          47          19           5           0        B3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.04798e-08          42          51           6           1           0        B1.3
est. ISN   =       0.00000          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.50       47.00       12.50        2.00        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)